Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.172445 0.185406 0.199051 0.214522 0.231613 0.249962 0.271210
2025-12-28 0.151263 0.170211 0.191401 0.217010 0.247323 0.282311 0.326122
2026-01-04 0.137685 0.160006 0.186076 0.219099 0.260281 0.310579 0.377659
2026-01-11 0.126994 0.151293 0.180646 0.219241 0.269454 0.333727 0.424182
2026-01-18 0.116738 0.141822 0.172942 0.215112 0.271914 0.347531 0.458966
2026-01-25 0.107566 0.132798 0.164804 0.209282 0.270990 0.355976 0.486413
2026-02-01 0.100603 0.126009 0.158887 0.205642 0.272308 0.367093 0.518338
2026-02-08 0.094232 0.119516 0.152809 0.201125 0.271711 0.374994 0.545777
2026-02-15 0.089094 0.114316 0.148072 0.198000 0.272643 0.384921 0.577152
2026-02-22 0.086286 0.112083 0.147209 0.200238 0.281531 0.407585 0.631977
2026-03-01 0.082702 0.108547 0.144257 0.199118 0.285059 0.421904 0.674091
2026-03-08 0.078972 0.104596 0.140457 0.196411 0.285774 0.431523 0.708782
2026-03-15 0.074770 0.099865 0.135404 0.191665 0.283166 0.435846 0.735319
2026-03-22 0.073258 0.098938 0.135890 0.195530 0.294949 0.466109 0.816466
2026-03-29 0.071385 0.097376 0.135311 0.197626 0.303880 0.492204 0.893600
2026-04-05 0.069169 0.095184 0.133634 0.197794 0.309435 0.512603 0.962127
2026-04-12 0.066204 0.091729 0.129829 0.194193 0.308009 0.519572 1.002139
2026-04-19 0.063093 0.087922 0.125295 0.189095 0.303478 0.520011 1.027210
2026-04-26 0.060622 0.084996 0.122010 0.185909 0.302176 0.526677 1.068100
2026-05-03 0.058135 0.081950 0.118399 0.181951 0.299130 0.529468 1.099959
2026-05-10 0.056060 0.079467 0.115584 0.179211 0.298166 0.536442 1.143625
2026-05-17 0.055094 0.078678 0.115463 0.181174 0.306344 0.563588 1.245419
2026-05-24 0.053581 0.076965 0.113751 0.180191 0.308660 0.578220 1.316161